Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.468785 6.250394e-01 0.804800 1.023706 1.279926 1.567344 1.911116
2025-03-23 0.279181 4.725488e-01 0.728329 1.076392 1.523116 2.063654 2.753393
2025-03-30 0.162627 3.594780e-01 0.660203 1.113444 1.742046 2.549118 3.629417
2025-04-06 0.089259 2.701477e-01 0.592632 1.128596 1.924588 2.998269 4.491172
2025-04-13 0.041212 1.897946e-01 0.507927 1.093935 2.024215 3.337495 5.226302
2025-04-20 0.018971 1.425453e-01 0.460575 1.102514 2.179349 3.755177 6.080887
2025-04-27 0.007598 1.076822e-01 0.421608 1.113263 2.332393 4.172712 6.948412
2025-05-04 0.001676 7.314912e-02 0.364297 1.074740 2.396590 4.458188 7.637711
2025-05-11 0.000093 4.735903e-02 0.311498 1.029768 2.439662 4.707988 8.279519
2025-05-18 NaN 3.401700e-02 0.286385 1.035790 2.568173 5.090815 9.122729
2025-05-25 NaN 2.104295e-02 0.248478 1.001873 2.617904 5.348472 9.786189
2025-06-01 NaN 1.736090e-02 0.248760 1.060341 2.843132 5.893835 10.891629
2025-06-08 NaN 1.107395e-02 0.226465 1.057752 2.955005 6.266838 11.760253
2025-06-15 NaN 9.830826e-03 0.235983 1.143918 3.247847 6.949113 13.118050
2025-06-22 NaN 7.669921e-03 0.234952 1.199987 3.483838 7.544616 14.357115
2025-06-29 NaN 5.141125e-03 0.224227 1.225171 3.658066 8.041656 15.455363
2025-07-06 NaN 2.389423e-03 0.197326 1.193244 3.710137 8.332000 16.238467
2025-07-13 NaN 1.255373e-03 0.185097 1.204827 3.853730 8.782208 17.279183
2025-07-20 NaN 5.831006e-04 0.174166 1.217546 3.999306 9.238499 18.336332
2025-07-27 NaN 9.973247e-05 0.150757 1.177254 4.023217 9.480615 19.057270
2025-08-03 NaN 7.487960e-07 0.128032 1.129724 4.024711 9.680523 19.712372
2025-08-10 NaN NaN 0.119215 1.136313 4.151353 10.107775 20.740170
2025-08-17 NaN NaN 0.102437 1.100269 4.172743 10.342971 21.459383